Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.749096 4.476837 5.288372 6.257550 7.380451 8.637376 10.147573
2025-08-17 2.589496 3.486959 4.594066 6.048510 7.895770 10.149332 13.090455
2025-08-24 1.969539 2.931288 4.220223 6.048266 8.543640 11.796052 16.314065
2025-08-31 1.563098 2.538559 3.942625 6.067126 9.146132 13.381958 19.569017
2025-09-07 1.251419 2.201443 3.660194 5.998447 9.569924 14.718137 22.567354
2025-09-14 0.973874 1.851500 3.285446 5.712912 9.606916 15.466947 24.757734
2025-09-21 0.809603 1.651004 3.104262 5.685761 10.007376 16.756402 27.819395
2025-09-28 0.679131 1.481095 2.941108 5.654180 10.379002 18.012493 30.910087
2025-10-05 0.627082 1.447171 3.007293 6.016372 11.428663 20.416787 35.977879
2025-10-12 0.559819 1.368540 2.976888 6.196638 12.176111 22.378411 40.467155
2025-10-19 0.511053 1.318361 2.991303 6.456708 13.082368 24.666646 45.649133
2025-10-26 0.443960 1.213461 2.879545 6.457501 13.509995 26.157656 49.577835
2025-11-02 0.364745 1.064732 2.657110 6.217198 13.474844 26.858063 52.244296
2025-11-09 0.300565 0.937343 2.458956 5.998277 13.454438 27.579205 54.999395
2025-11-16 0.260953 0.863788 2.368977 5.994865 13.856375 29.102220 59.297196
2025-11-23 0.228351 0.801253 2.293931 6.012668 14.299569 30.730877 63.892895
2025-11-30 0.196099 0.731179 2.187960 5.944276 14.551013 32.002460 67.895547
2025-12-07 0.159402 0.636794 2.002369 5.660957 14.305138 32.267600 69.981322
2025-12-14 0.138598 0.587576 1.927145 5.634003 14.620379 33.678847 74.382636
2025-12-21 0.120538 0.542325 1.854461 5.602671 14.920186 35.075982 78.838874
2025-12-28 0.116852 0.548105 1.929222 5.961954 16.160735 38.522930 87.623642
2026-01-04 0.107942 0.531726 1.935707 6.140781 16.988551 41.145592 94.872113
2026-01-11 0.101857 0.524802 1.969899 6.398783 18.029618 44.292751 103.375953